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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Dean Court
ML

Bournemouth
1 - 0
Millwall

Moore (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kieftenbeld (68'), Saville (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bournemouth 1-1 Millwall

A few sore heads in the Bournemouth dressing room may play into Millwall's hands here as they desperately seek a win, but the Lions have been inconsistent of late and their away record is patchy so we think that they will only manage to take a point from the South coast. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 17.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bournemouth in this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawMillwall
59.4%23.44%17.15%
Both teams to score 45.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.57%53.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.04%74.96%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.3%17.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.65%48.35%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.33%44.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.33%80.67%
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 59.4%
    Millwall 17.15%
    Draw 23.44%
BournemouthDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 13.69%
2-0 @ 11.85%
2-1 @ 9.55%
3-0 @ 6.84%
3-1 @ 5.51%
4-0 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 2.39%
3-2 @ 2.22%
5-0 @ 1.03%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 59.4%
1-1 @ 11.03%
0-0 @ 7.91%
2-2 @ 3.85%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.44%
0-1 @ 6.37%
1-2 @ 4.45%
0-2 @ 2.57%
1-3 @ 1.19%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 17.15%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, May 3 at 7pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 3-3 Bournemouth
Tuesday, April 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-1 Fulham
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-3 Bournemouth
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-0 Middlesbrough
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 3-0 Peterborough
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 2-2 Millwall
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-1 Hull City
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-1 Millwall
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 4-1 Barnsley
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Swansea
Tuesday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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