A few sore heads in the Bournemouth dressing room may play into Millwall's hands here as they desperately seek a win, but the Lions have been inconsistent of late and their away record is patchy so we think that they will only manage to take a point from the South coast. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 17.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bournemouth in this match.

Result
Bournemouth	Draw	Millwall
59.4%	23.44%	17.15%

Both teams to score 45.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.57%

53.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.04%

74.96%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.3%

17.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.65%

48.35%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.33%

44.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.33%

80.67%

Score Analysis

Bournemouth 59.4%

Millwall 17.15%

Draw 23.44%

Bournemouth	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 13.69% 2-0 @ 11.85% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 5.51% 4-0 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.22% 5-0 @ 1.03% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.39% Total : 59.4%	1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 7.91% 2-2 @ 3.85% Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.44%	0-1 @ 6.37% 1-2 @ 4.45% 0-2 @ 2.57% 1-3 @ 1.19% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.54% Total : 17.15%