SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Manchester City | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Manchester United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Newcastle United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 46.06%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Aston Villa |
46.06% ( -0.1) | 23.83% ( 0.31) | 30.11% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 59.76% ( -1.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.87% ( -1.55) | 42.13% ( 1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.47% ( -1.57) | 64.53% ( 1.58) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.49% ( -0.65) | 18.51% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.26% ( -1.11) | 49.74% ( 1.11) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.34% ( -0.9) | 26.67% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.09% ( -1.21) | 61.91% ( 1.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.4)2-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.49% Total : 46.06% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.82% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.13% Total : 30.11% |
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