Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 46.06%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Aston Villa
46.06% ( -0.1)	23.83% ( 0.31)	30.11% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 59.76% (

-1.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.87% (

-1.55)

42.13% (

1.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.47% (

-1.57)

64.53% (

1.58)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.49% (

-0.65)

18.51% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.26% (

-1.11)

49.74% (

1.11)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.34% (

-0.9)

26.67% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.09% (

-1.21)

61.91% (

1.21)

Score Analysis

Manchester United 46.06%

Aston Villa 30.11%

Draw 23.82%

Manchester United	Draw	Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.49% Total : 46.06%	1-1 @ 11% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.82%	1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.13% Total : 30.11%