Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Bournemouth	Draw	Leeds United
32.77% ( 0.01)	25.59% ( 0)	41.64% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.95% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.04% (

-0.01)

48.95% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.95% (

-0.01)

71.04% (

0.01)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.68% (

28.32% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.95% (

64.05% (

-0)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.66% (

-0.01)

23.34% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.7% (

-0.02)

57.3% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Bournemouth 32.77%

Leeds United 41.64%

Draw 25.58%

Bournemouth	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.34% 3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.77%	1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.64%