SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fulham in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Leeds United |
45.98% ( -0.15) | 24.08% ( 0.02) | 29.94% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 58.78% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.63% ( -0.01) | 43.37% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.23% ( -0.01) | 65.77% ( 0.01) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.96% ( -0.07) | 19.04% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.38% ( -0.11) | 50.62% ( 0.11) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.6% ( 0.09) | 27.4% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.13% ( 0.11) | 62.87% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Leeds United |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 45.98% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.94% |
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