Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Bournemouth
58.13% ( -0.4)	21.82% ( 0.04)	20.04% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 55.64% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.45% (

0.31)

42.54% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.05% (

0.31)

64.95% (

-0.31)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.64% (

-0.02)

14.36% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.78% (

-0.05)

42.22% (

0.04)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.97% (

0.54)

35.03% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.22% (

0.57)

71.77% (

-0.57)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 58.13%

Bournemouth 20.04%

Draw 21.81%

Leeds United	Draw	Bournemouth
2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.94% Total : 58.13%	1-1 @ 10.23% 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.81%	1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.96% Total : 20.04%