Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 16.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-0 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
