Luton
0 - 3
Man Utd

Kioso (67'), Hylton (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mata (44' pen.), Rashford (88'), Greenwood (90+2')
Williams (57')

Build‑up

Nathan Jones "so proud" of Luton's performance against Manchester United

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer: 'Mason Greenwood needs to learn how to head a ball'

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 17.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Luton Town win it was 2-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Manchester United
17.16%	20.46%	62.38%

Both teams to score 54.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.05%

40.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.66%

63.34%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.78%

37.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.99%

74.01%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.43%

12.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.35%

38.65%

Score Analysis

Luton Town 17.16%

Manchester United 62.38%

Draw 20.46%

Luton Town	Draw	Manchester United
2-1 @ 4.74% 1-0 @ 4.63% 2-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.62% 3-1 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.33% Total : 17.16%	1-1 @ 9.59% 2-2 @ 4.91% 0-0 @ 4.68% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.46%	0-2 @ 10.06% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-1 @ 9.71% 0-3 @ 6.96% 1-3 @ 6.87% 0-4 @ 3.61% 1-4 @ 3.56% 2-3 @ 3.4% 2-4 @ 1.76% 0-5 @ 1.5% 1-5 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.54% Total : 62.38%