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Europa League | Semi-Finals
Aug 16, 2020 at 8pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
MU

Sevilla
2 - 1
Man Utd

Suso (26'), de Jong (78')
Carlos (21'), El Haddadi (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fernandes (9' pen.)
Williams (17'), Rashford (67'), Maguire (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 41.84%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 1-2 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.39%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-0 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
SevillaDrawManchester United
27.8%30.37%41.84%
Both teams to score 39.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.61%67.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.47%85.53%
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.12%41.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.67%78.33%
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.02%31.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.56%68.44%
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 27.79%
    Manchester United 41.83%
    Draw 30.36%
SevillaDrawManchester United
1-0 @ 11.65%
2-1 @ 5.78%
2-0 @ 5.07%
3-1 @ 1.68%
3-0 @ 1.47%
3-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 27.79%
0-0 @ 13.39%
1-1 @ 13.29%
2-2 @ 3.3%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 30.36%
0-1 @ 15.26%
0-2 @ 8.7%
1-2 @ 7.58%
0-3 @ 3.31%
1-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 41.83%


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