Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 61.87%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 16.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
