Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
