Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 52.03%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 22.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
