Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
