Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Watford had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
