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CL
Premier League | Gameweek 33
Jul 4, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stamford Bridge
WL

Chelsea
3 - 0
Watford

Giroud (28'), Willian (43' pen.), Barkley (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Capoue (21'), Mariappa (49')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Watford had a probability of 15.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
ChelseaDrawWatford
64.55%20.24%15.21%
Both teams to score 51.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.35%43.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.96%66.04%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.22%12.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.93%39.07%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.68%41.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.16%77.83%
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 64.54%
    Watford 15.21%
    Draw 20.24%
ChelseaDrawWatford
2-0 @ 11.17%
1-0 @ 10.86%
2-1 @ 9.88%
3-0 @ 7.66%
3-1 @ 6.77%
4-0 @ 3.94%
4-1 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.99%
5-0 @ 1.62%
4-2 @ 1.54%
5-1 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 64.54%
1-1 @ 9.6%
0-0 @ 5.28%
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 20.24%
0-1 @ 4.67%
1-2 @ 4.24%
0-2 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.29%
1-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 15.21%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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