Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
