Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
