Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-0 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.