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Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
Selhurst Park
BL

Crystal Palace
1 - 1
Brighton

Ayew (45+1')
Mateta (29'), Hughes (50'), Mitchell (54'), Ozoh (85'), Henderson (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Welbeck (82')
Balepa (31'), Julio (57')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 2-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
31.29% (4.947 4.95) 25.18% (1.44 1.44) 43.53% (-6.39 -6.39)
Both teams to score 55.73% (-1.442 -1.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.31% (-3.429 -3.43)47.68% (3.424 3.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.12% (-3.246 -3.25)69.88% (3.242 3.24)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34% (1.776 1.78)28.65% (-1.779 -1.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53% (2.166 2.17)64.46% (-2.17 -2.17)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.11% (-4.07 -4.07)21.89% (4.067 4.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.86% (-6.586 -6.59)55.14% (6.583 6.58)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 31.29%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 43.53%
    Draw 25.17%
Crystal PalaceDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 7.84% (1.387 1.39)
2-1 @ 7.44% (0.824 0.82)
2-0 @ 4.9% (1.062 1.06)
3-1 @ 3.1% (0.476 0.48)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.092 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.04% (0.519 0.52)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.188 0.19)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.29%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.78 0.78)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.849 0.85)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 9.53% (0.174 0.17)
1-2 @ 9.05% (-0.551 -0.55)
0-2 @ 7.24% (-0.83 -0.83)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.937 -0.94)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.973 -0.97)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.64 -0.64)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.608 -0.61)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.328 -0.33)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 43.53%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Man City 2-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-2 Liverpool
Saturday, December 9 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-2 Bournemouth
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Crystal Palace
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 2-3 Everton
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Brighton
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Marseille
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Burnley
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 2-1 Brentford
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 3-2 Brighton
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: AEK Athens 0-1 Brighton
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa League


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