Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Crystal Palace | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
31.29% ( 4.95) | 25.18% ( 1.44) | 43.53% ( -6.39) |
Both teams to score 55.73% ( -1.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.31% ( -3.43) | 47.68% ( 3.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.12% ( -3.25) | 69.88% ( 3.24) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.34% ( 1.78) | 28.65% ( -1.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.53% ( 2.17) | 64.46% ( -2.17) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.11% ( -4.07) | 21.89% ( 4.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.86% ( -6.59) | 55.14% ( 6.58) |
Score Analysis |
Crystal Palace | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
1-0 @ 7.84% ( 1.39) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.82) 2-0 @ 4.9% ( 1.06) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.48) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.52) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.29% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.78) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.85) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.55) 0-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.83) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.94) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.97) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.42) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.64) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.61) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.33) Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.53% |
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