Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 75.7%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 8.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.26%) and 0-1 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Manchester City in this match.
