Burnley
0 - 2
Man City

Stephens (83'), Mumbongo (87')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Jesus (3'), Sterling (38')
Ederson (76')

Build‑up

Raheem Sterling: 'Squad unity is helping us'

Pep Guardiola: 'We must focus on the next match'

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 75.7%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 8.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.26%) and 0-1 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Manchester City in this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Manchester City
8.91%	15.38%	75.7%

Both teams to score 47.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.22%

37.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.97%

60.03%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.78%

48.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.61%

83.38%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.63%

8.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.87%

29.12%

Score Analysis

Burnley 8.91%

Manchester City 75.68%

Draw 15.38%

Burnley	Draw	Manchester City
1-0 @ 2.94% 2-1 @ 2.66% 2-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.23% Total : 8.91%	1-1 @ 7.3% 0-0 @ 4.03% 2-2 @ 3.3% Other @ 0.75% Total : 15.38%	0-2 @ 12.41% 0-3 @ 10.26% 0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 9.06% 1-3 @ 7.49% 0-4 @ 6.37% 1-4 @ 4.65% 0-5 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-5 @ 2.31% 2-4 @ 1.7% 0-6 @ 1.31% 1-6 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.29% Total : 75.68%