Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 51.6%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Aston Villa
51.6% ( 0)	22.92% ( -0)	25.48%

Both teams to score 59.15% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.75%

41.25% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.35% (

63.65% (

-0)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.92% (

16.08% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.53% (

45.47% (

-0)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.49%

29.51% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.48% (

65.52% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Leicester City 51.6%

Aston Villa 25.48%

Draw 22.91%

Leicester City	Draw	Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.67% 1-0 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 5.89% 3-0 @ 4.83% 3-2 @ 3.6% 4-1 @ 2.69% 4-0 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.5% Total : 51.6%	1-1 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.91%	1-2 @ 6.46% 0-1 @ 5.79% 0-2 @ 3.54% 1-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.22% Total : 25.48%