Premier League | Gameweek 14

Dec 19, 2020 at 12.30pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
0 - 7
Liverpool

Clyne (45+1')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Minamino (3'), Mane (35'), Firmino (44', 68'), Henderson (52'), Salah (81', 84')

Jordan Henderson: 'We can still improve'

Liverpool break all-time winning record with Palace rout

Jurgen Klopp breaks Liverpool winning record in Palace victory

Jurgen Klopp hails Takumi Minamino following Crystal Palace thrashing

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 67.37%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 13.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Liverpool
13.63%	18.99%	67.37%

Both teams to score 51.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.55%

41.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.15%

63.85%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.81%

42.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.41%

78.59%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.65%

11.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.95%

36.05%

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 13.63%

Liverpool 67.36%

Draw 18.99%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Liverpool
1-0 @ 4.13% 2-1 @ 3.88% 2-0 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.22% 3-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.5% Total : 13.63%	1-1 @ 8.99% 0-0 @ 4.79% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.99% Total : 18.99%	0-2 @ 11.33% 0-1 @ 10.41% 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-3 @ 8.22% 1-3 @ 7.1% 0-4 @ 4.47% 1-4 @ 3.86% 2-3 @ 3.06% 0-5 @ 1.95% 1-5 @ 1.68% 2-4 @ 1.67% Other @ 3.83% Total : 67.36%