Aston Villa
2 - 0
Crystal Palace

Trezeguet (45+4', 59')
Mings (27'), Luiz (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Zaha (27'), Sakho (27'), Kouyate (54'), Milivojevic (67')

Preview

Ahmed Elmohamady targeting three wins to escape relegation

Dean Smith hails Trezeguet after brace against Crystal Palace

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Crystal Palace
40.33%	25.84%	33.83%

Both teams to score 54.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.21%

49.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.21%

71.79%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.62%

24.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.22%

58.78%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.95%

28.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.29%

63.71%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 40.33%

Crystal Palace 33.83%

Draw 25.83%

Aston Villa	Draw	Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 9.65% 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 6.81% 3-1 @ 4.08% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.85% Total : 40.33%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.84% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83%	0-1 @ 8.69% 1-2 @ 7.8% 0-2 @ 5.52% 1-3 @ 3.3% 0-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.83%