Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
