Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 63.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 14.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.25%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
