Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 45.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 27.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.

Result
Everton	Draw	Burnley
45.08%	27.59%	27.34%

Both teams to score 46.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.09%

58.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.6%

79.4%

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.94%

26.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.89%

61.11%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.53%

37.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.75%

74.25%

Score Analysis

Everton 45.07%

Burnley 27.34%

Draw 27.59%

Everton	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 13.13% 2-0 @ 8.83% 2-1 @ 8.67% 3-0 @ 3.96% 3-1 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.06% Total : 45.07%	1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 9.77% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.59%	0-1 @ 9.59% 1-2 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 4.71% 1-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.72% Total : 27.34%