Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 45.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 27.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
