Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.

Result
Everton	Draw	Southampton
37.36%	27.23%	35.41%

Both teams to score 50.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.68%

55.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.47%

76.53%

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.41%

28.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.62%

64.38%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.22%

29.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.15%

65.85%

Score Analysis

Everton 37.35%

Southampton 35.4%

Draw 27.23%

Everton	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 3.38% 3-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.35%	1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.51% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.23%	0-1 @ 10.31% 1-2 @ 7.82% 0-2 @ 6.25% 1-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.41% Total : 35.4%