Everton
1 - 3
Man City

Richarlison (37')
Doucoure (28'), Richarlison (45')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Foden (32'), Mahrez (63'), Silva (77')
Sterling (67')

Build‑up

Pep Guardiola lavishes praise on Bernardo Silva

Guardiola refusing to dwell on Man City's winning run

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 68.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Everton had a probability of 14.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.45%) and 0-1 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Everton win it was 2-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Everton	Draw	Manchester City
14.19%	17.62%	68.19%

Both teams to score 58.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.53%

33.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.74%

55.26%

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.76%

36.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.97%

73.03%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.03%

8.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.4%

30.59%

Score Analysis

Everton 14.19%

Manchester City 68.19%

Draw 17.62%

Everton	Draw	Manchester City
2-1 @ 4.04% 1-0 @ 3.3% 2-0 @ 1.67% 3-2 @ 1.65% 3-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.17% Total : 14.19%	1-1 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 4.87% 0-0 @ 3.25% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.62%	1-2 @ 9.59% 0-2 @ 9.45% 0-1 @ 7.84% 1-3 @ 7.71% 0-3 @ 7.6% 1-4 @ 4.65% 0-4 @ 4.58% 2-3 @ 3.91% 2-4 @ 2.36% 1-5 @ 2.24% 0-5 @ 2.21% 2-5 @ 1.14% 1-6 @ 0.9% Other @ 4% Total : 68.19%