Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 20.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Everton	Draw	Newcastle United
56.41%	23.04%	20.55%

Both teams to score 52.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.83%

47.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.6%

69.4%

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.48%

16.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.74%

46.26%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.84%

37.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.05%

73.95%

Score Analysis

Everton 56.41%

Newcastle United 20.55%

Draw 23.04%

Everton	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 11.05% 2-0 @ 9.95% 2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 5.97% 3-1 @ 5.91% 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-0 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 2.66% 4-2 @ 1.32% 5-0 @ 0.97% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.15% Total : 56.41%	1-1 @ 10.94% 0-0 @ 6.14% 2-2 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.04%	0-1 @ 6.08% 1-2 @ 5.42% 0-2 @ 3.01% 1-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.66% Total : 20.55%