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Community Shield | Final
Aug 29, 2020 at 4.30pm UK
Wembley Stadium
LL

Arsenal
1 - 1
Liverpool

Arsenal win 5-4 on penalties
FT
(aet)
Minamino (73')
Milner (57')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 58.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Arsenal had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 0-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for an Arsenal win it was 2-1 (5.43%).

Result
ArsenalDrawLiverpool
20.29%21.33%58.37%
Both teams to score 57.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.06%39.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.7%62.29%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.72%33.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.11%69.88%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.57%13.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.61%40.38%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 20.29%
    Liverpool 58.37%
    Draw 21.33%
ArsenalDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 5.43%
1-0 @ 4.92%
2-0 @ 2.71%
3-2 @ 2%
3-1 @ 1.99%
3-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 20.29%
1-1 @ 9.87%
2-2 @ 5.45%
0-0 @ 4.47%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.33%
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-2 @ 9.01%
0-1 @ 8.97%
1-3 @ 6.63%
0-3 @ 6.03%
2-3 @ 3.65%
1-4 @ 3.33%
0-4 @ 3.03%
2-4 @ 1.83%
1-5 @ 1.34%
0-5 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 58.37%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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