Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
