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Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Craven Cottage
LT

Fulham
1 - 0
Luton

Vinicius (65')
Castagne (40'), Diop (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Chong (27'), Kaminski (37')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 5-1 Fulham
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 1-2 West Ham
Friday, September 1 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fulham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fulham.

Result
FulhamDrawLuton Town
37.28% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 26.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 35.88% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.27% (0.011000000000003 0.01)53.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.78% (0.010999999999999 0.01)75.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.51% (0.00099999999999767 0)63.49%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29% (0.012 0.01)28.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)64.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 37.27%
    Luton Town 35.88%
    Draw 26.83%
FulhamDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.22%
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.47%
3-0 @ 2.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 37.27%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 9.99% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.96% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.88%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Man City 5-1 Fulham
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 1-1 Spurs (5-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Arsenal 2-2 Fulham
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 0-3 Brentford
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 0-1 Fulham
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 5 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Luton 1-2 West Ham
Friday, September 1 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 3-2 Gillingham
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 Luton
Friday, August 25 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 4-1 Luton
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-1 Luton
Saturday, August 5 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Wolves 0-0 Luton
Wednesday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1


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