Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Fulham win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
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