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Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 28, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Old Trafford
FL

Man Utd
2 - 1
Fulham

Sancho (39'), Fernandes (55')
McTominay (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tete (19')
Palhinha (51'), Mitrovic (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 4-1 Chelsea
Thursday, May 25 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 2-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 64.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 15.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Fulham win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester United.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawFulham
64.39% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 20.35% (0.0019999999999989 0) 15.26% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 50.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.04% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.57% (0.0039999999999978 0)66.43% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.05% (0.0010000000000048 0)12.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.59% (0.0010000000000048 0)39.41% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)41.5% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.01% (0.004999999999999 0)77.99% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 64.38%
    Fulham 15.26%
    Draw 20.35%
Manchester UnitedDrawFulham
2-0 @ 11.22%
1-0 @ 10.98%
2-1 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 7.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.73%
4-0 @ 3.91%
4-1 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 2.96%
5-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.51%
5-1 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 64.38%
1-1 @ 9.66%
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 20.35%
0-1 @ 4.73%
1-2 @ 4.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.27%
1-3 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 15.26%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Man Utd 4-1 Chelsea
Thursday, May 25 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-1 Man Utd
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-0 Wolves
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-0 Man Utd
Sunday, May 7 at 7pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Man Utd
Thursday, May 4 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 2-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 0-2 Fulham
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 5-3 Leicester
Monday, May 8 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 Fulham
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 1-2 Man City
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Fulham
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in Premier League


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