Fulham's recent form has been patchy at best, but Luton's injury problems are difficult to ignore when picking a result here. We are expecting it to be a tight match on Monday evening but believe that Fulham's superior quality will shine through to confirm their spot at the top of the Championship table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 13.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
Fulham	Draw	Luton Town
66.29%	19.95%	13.77%

Both teams to score 48.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.6%

45.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.27%

67.73%

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.19%

12.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.86%

39.14%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.55%

44.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.51%

80.49%

Score Analysis

Fulham 66.28%

Luton Town 13.77%

Draw 19.95%

Fulham	Draw	Luton Town
2-0 @ 12.02% 1-0 @ 11.7% 2-1 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 8.24% 3-1 @ 6.68% 4-0 @ 4.23% 4-1 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 2.71% 5-0 @ 1.74% 5-1 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.99% Total : 66.28%	1-1 @ 9.49% 0-0 @ 5.7% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.81% Total : 19.95%	0-1 @ 4.62% 1-2 @ 3.85% 0-2 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.07% 1-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.33% Total : 13.77%