Bournemouth's 100th Premier League home game could end in disappointment, as the main ingredient missing for Leicester this term has been belief.
Now that confidence is now partly restored, the visitors can make their greater individual quality count and compensate for defensive deficiencies.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.