SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Aston Villa |
42.7% ( -0.02) | 25.37% ( -0) | 31.93% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.38% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.74% ( 0.02) | 48.26% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.59% ( 0.02) | 70.41% ( -0.02) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.47% | 22.52% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.9% ( -0) | 56.1% ( 0) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% ( 0.03) | 28.52% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.7% ( 0.04) | 64.29% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.7% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.06% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.93% |
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