Defensive failures have plagued Southampton on the road for several months now, and such frailties could only be exposed more without the bright Bella-Kotchap marshalling the backline.
Bournemouth's extra rest day will also work in their favour, and we can envisage O'Neil's side keeping their unbeaten run going with a one-goal success versus the out-of-form Saints.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
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