SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Fulham win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Fulham |
47.36% ( 0.24) | 24.59% ( -0.08) | 28.05% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 55.75% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.21% ( 0.23) | 46.78% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.96% ( 0.22) | 69.04% ( -0.22) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.17% ( 0.2) | 19.83% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.09% ( 0.31) | 51.91% ( -0.31) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.54% | 30.46% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.33% ( -0) | 66.67% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Fulham |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.94% Total : 47.36% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.59% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.05% |
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