Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 52.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
