Premier League | Gameweek 8

Nov 6, 2020 at 8pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
2 - 0
Newcastle

Adams (7'), Armstrong (82')
Romeu (27')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fernandez (43'), Longstaff (90')

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Newcastle United
46.78%	26.04%	27.17%

Both teams to score 50.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.68%

53.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.13%

74.86%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.22%

22.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.53%

56.47%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.42%

34.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.7%

71.29%

Score Analysis

Southampton 46.77%

Newcastle United 27.17%

Draw 26.04%

Southampton	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 9.15% 2-0 @ 8.62% 3-1 @ 4.51% 3-0 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.96% Total : 46.77%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.87% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 8.36% 1-2 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 4.44% 1-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.18% Total : 27.17%