Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 50.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
