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Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 26, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
King Power Stadium
MU

Leicester
2 - 2
Man Utd

Barnes (31')
Maddison (54'), Ndidi (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rashford (23'), Fernandes (79'), Tuanzebe (85' og.)
Fernandes (45+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Leicester CityDrawManchester United
29.33%24.76%45.91%
Both teams to score 56.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.26%46.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31%69%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48%29.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47%65.53%
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57%20.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13%52.87%
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 29.33%
    Manchester United 45.91%
    Draw 24.75%
Leicester CityDrawManchester United
1-0 @ 7.36%
2-1 @ 7.13%
2-0 @ 4.49%
3-1 @ 2.9%
3-2 @ 2.3%
3-0 @ 1.83%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 29.33%
1-1 @ 11.68%
0-0 @ 6.03%
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.75%
0-1 @ 9.58%
1-2 @ 9.28%
0-2 @ 7.61%
1-3 @ 4.91%
0-3 @ 4.03%
2-3 @ 3%
1-4 @ 1.95%
0-4 @ 1.6%
2-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 45.91%

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