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Premier League | Gameweek 12
Dec 13, 2020 at 7.15pm UK
King Power Stadium
BL

Leicester
3 - 0
Brighton

Maddison (27', 44'), Vardy (41')
Fuchs (22'), Evans (78')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Burn (72')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 20.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
55.96%23.8%20.24%
Both teams to score 49.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.32%50.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.42%72.58%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.05%17.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.22%48.78%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.51%39.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.82%76.18%
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 55.95%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 20.24%
    Draw 23.8%
Leicester CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 12.17%
2-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 9.72%
3-0 @ 5.99%
3-1 @ 5.56%
3-2 @ 2.58%
4-0 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 2.39%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 55.95%
1-1 @ 11.31%
0-0 @ 7.09%
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 23.8%
0-1 @ 6.59%
1-2 @ 5.26%
0-2 @ 3.06%
1-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.4%
0-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 20.24%

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