Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.47%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	AEK Athens
44.55%	22.69%	32.76%

Both teams to score 65.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.62%

35.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.59%

57.41%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.55%

16.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.86%

46.13%

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.2%

21.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.99%

55%

Score Analysis

Leicester City 44.55%

AEK Athens 32.76%

Draw 22.69%

Leicester City	Draw	AEK Athens
2-1 @ 8.9% 1-0 @ 6.47% 2-0 @ 5.84% 3-1 @ 5.35% 3-2 @ 4.08% 3-0 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.62% Total : 44.55%	1-1 @ 9.86% 2-2 @ 6.78% 0-0 @ 3.59% 3-3 @ 2.07% Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.69%	1-2 @ 7.51% 0-1 @ 5.46% 0-2 @ 4.16% 1-3 @ 3.81% 2-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.5% Total : 32.76%