Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 56.53%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 21.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
