Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
