Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 15.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leeds United in this match.