Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 61.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 17.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
