Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.73%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 6.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.53%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (2.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
