Premier League | Gameweek 26

Feb 27, 2021 at 12.30pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
2 - 1
West Ham

Dias (30'), Stones (68')
Fernandinho (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Antonio (43')
Johnson (28')

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John Stones: 'We showed battling qualities against West Ham'

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.73%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 6.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.53%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (2.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	West Ham United
81.73%	11.87%	6.4%

Both teams to score 48.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.51%

29.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.41%

50.58%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.6%

5.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.85%

21.15%

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.6%

48.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.48%

83.52%

Score Analysis

Manchester City 81.73%

West Ham United 6.4%

Draw 11.87%

Manchester City	Draw	West Ham United
2-0 @ 11.13% 3-0 @ 10.84% 2-1 @ 8.08% 4-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 7.87% 1-0 @ 7.63% 4-1 @ 5.75% 5-0 @ 4.62% 5-1 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.86% 6-0 @ 2.25% 4-2 @ 2.09% 6-1 @ 1.63% 5-2 @ 1.22% 7-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.56% Total : 81.73%	1-1 @ 5.53% 2-2 @ 2.93% 0-0 @ 2.61% Other @ 0.79% Total : 11.87%	1-2 @ 2.01% 0-1 @ 1.9% Other @ 2.5% Total : 6.4%