Aston Villa
1 - 3
West Ham

Watkins (81')
Luiz (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Soucek (51'), Lingard (56', 83')
Cresswell (65')

Preview

Jesse Lingard delighted with double on West Ham debut

David Moyes: 'Jesse Lingard can make England squad'

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	West Ham United
33.82%	25.85%	40.33%

Both teams to score 54.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.16%

49.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.16%

71.83%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.91%

28.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.24%

63.75%

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.6%

24.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.19%

58.81%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 33.82%

West Ham United 40.33%

Draw 25.85%

Aston Villa	Draw	West Ham United
1-0 @ 8.7% 2-1 @ 7.79% 2-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.79% Total : 33.82%	1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.85% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.85%	0-1 @ 9.67% 1-2 @ 8.66% 0-2 @ 6.82% 1-3 @ 4.07% 0-3 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.33%