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Premier League | Gameweek 25
Feb 21, 2021 at 4.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
MC

Arsenal
0 - 1
Man City


Xhaka (53'), Bellerin (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sterling (2')
Silva (51'), Cancelo (64')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 62.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Arsenal had a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 0-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for an Arsenal win it was 2-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawManchester City
18.05%19.47%62.48%
Both teams to score 60.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.36%34.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.41%56.6%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.59%32.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.07%68.93%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.35%10.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.48%34.52%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 18.05%
    Manchester City 62.48%
    Draw 19.47%
ArsenalDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 4.91%
1-0 @ 3.89%
2-0 @ 2.19%
3-2 @ 2.06%
3-1 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 18.05%
1-1 @ 8.71%
2-2 @ 5.5%
0-0 @ 3.45%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 19.47%
1-2 @ 9.76%
0-2 @ 8.66%
0-1 @ 7.74%
1-3 @ 7.28%
0-3 @ 6.46%
2-3 @ 4.1%
1-4 @ 4.08%
0-4 @ 3.62%
2-4 @ 2.3%
1-5 @ 1.83%
0-5 @ 1.62%
2-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 62.48%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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